Two Green House Effects

Many arguments against the anthropogenic cause of global warming (AGW) have been published, but the fundamental issue, i.e., the greenhouse effect has not been critically examined, it seems. The narrative on the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide and the like seems to have become an unquestionable truth: cultism. Even those who argue that CO2 is not the cause of global warming seem not to deny the greenhouse effect of CO2 and the others. They deny the narrative, by pointing out that no correlation has been observed between atmospheric temperature and CO2 concentration over the last million years, that the narrative tends to ignore true data, particularly with solar activities, and that CO2 is beneficial for plant growth and others, rather than the polluter. In these arguments, the true nature of the so-called Green House Effect is not strictly defined. The greenhouse effect according to the cult is that CO2 (and other so-called GHG’s) absorbs IR (heat) energy coming out from the surface of the earth. The greenhouse gases do, indeed, absorb the IR intramolecularly, but absorb only minimal portions of the IR emitted by the global surface. Besides, the major greenhouse gas that absorbs the IR intramolecularly is water vapor which contributes about 95% of the greenhouse effect GHE-1. CO2’s effect is only a few % or so of the overall Arrhenius type greenhouse effect (GHE). Half of the IR energy by emitted by GHG’s will be returned toward the earth surface, and the half will leave upward, and hence CO2 captures half of leaving heat from the earth’s surface, and thus contributes to global warming. Let us call this effect “GHE-1”. Is this what we observe in our “greenhouse” (of real life)? Sunlight comes through glass window, and warms the solid material, and the heated solids release heat (IR), which warms the gas in the greenhouse; how. Heat simply increases the motions of the gaseous molecules; and its effect is the increase in the temperature of the gas. The IR portion of the coming-in sunlight excites the gas in the house, contributing to warming as well, though. The gas in the ordinary greenhouse is essentially air consisting of nitrogen and oxygen molecules. They cannot absorb IR, and simply become faster in their movement due to the heat. This warming effect is simply kinetic effect; not IR-absorption caused by intramolecular movements. Besides, the real-life greenhouse is enclosed so that the heated air remains in and the temperature rises. How about the open atmosphere? How would the heat from the earth surface be retained, by GHE-1? The official narrative has been mentioned above. GHE-1’s work on limited areas of the leaving IR and, besides, the quantity of heat (IR) restrained by each GH-gas is relatively small, insufficient to retain the leaving heat (IR). So, the GHE-1 does not seem to be enough to keep our atmosphere warm. As mentioned above, the warming in the real greenhouse seems to be reflection of the increase of molecular movements of molecules in the gas. The main components of the gas are nitrogen and oxygen molecules, both of which do not absorb IR. The warming of the greenhouse is actually caused by the fact that the air remains inside because it is enclosed. How about the open atmosphere? Dr. Thomas Allmendinger showed by experimental study that the temperature of the atmosphere is maintained by the thermal movements of the main components (N2 and O2 molecules), and has little to do with IR absorption by CO2 [1]. Let’s take a look at how the heat emitted from the earth surface moves up through the atmosphere. Heat emitted from the surface intensifies the movements of the molecules in the atmosphere. The more intense movement of molecules is reflected in the higher temperature of the gas. That is, the air is heated up by the heat from the earth surface. But, that heat moves further up and leaves the atmosphere portion which has been warmed. Heat keeps coming up from below, and so the atmosphere is kept being heated from below but losing heat to higher level. At a certain height, heats coming from below and heat leaving up become the same, and hence the temperature at that height becomes steady. Thomas Allmendinger [1] showed experimentally that the steady state temperature at a certain height is dependent on the pressure and the mass of the material in the atmosphere. He tried different gases as atmosphere and see what determines the steady state temperature. He tried Helium(He), Neon(Ne), Air (N2 + O2), Argon(Ar), CO2, as each gas at 1 atm pressure was heated at a constant rate from below. These gaseous molecules cannot absorb IR except for CO2. The attained steady temperature under the same experimental condition was CO2>Ar>Air>Ne>He (as seen in Fig. 1). Well, is this due to GHE-1 of CO2? The fact is that the temperature of Ar is slightly low but about the same as that of CO2. Ar cannot absorb IR at all, but it accomplishes to attain about the same temperature as that of CO2. Why? The temperature attained seems to be dependent on the mass of the molecules in the gas. The molar masses are: CO2 44g/mole, Ar 40g/mole, Air 28.9, Ne 20, and He 4. This implies that the temperature attained is dependent on the movement of the molecules in the atmosphere; let’s call this “GHE-2”. This fact can be seen from another perspective. The temperature of lower portion of the troposphere is maintained through kinetic movements of molecules in atmosphere, because it has been shown to be governed by the ideal gas law: PV=nRT, where P=pressure, V=volume, n=number of moles ( in terms of mole), T=temperature and R=gas constant [2]. The temperature T can then be expressed by T=P/(R x ( where  is the density of the atmosphere and M is the molar mass of the molecules in the atmosphere. The temperature of the current earth’s atmosphere was calculated as 288.14 K= 150C according to this formula [2]. So the current overall average temperature of lower atmosphere is 15oC, and this temperature is maintained by N2 and O2 through GHE-2, i.e., their kinetic movements. The minor components H2O, CO2, CH4 and others contribute negligibly little in terms of GHE-2 . They may contribute in terms of GHE-1 as well, but again negligibly small amounts. Ian Plimer says: “Air itself is a good insulator” in his major work, indicating that “greenhouse effect (GHE-1) is a misnomer [3]. At high altitude where the atmospheric pressure becomes low, the GHE-1 becomes significant, as GHE-2 is reduced. One of the major claims for the CO2 GH effect (GHE-1) for the global warming is based on the fact that the temperature of the atmosphere of Venus is quite high 740 K, because it consists mostly of CO2. So it can be claimed that GHE-1 effect of CO2 maintains that high temperature. However, it was calculated to be 739.7 K based on the gas law PV=nRT [2]. This result implies that the Venus atmospheric temperature is maintained by the kinetic movement of the molecules (CO2) in its atmosphere (GHE-2), not IR-based GH effect (GHE-1). “Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect” described by N. Nicolov and K. Zelller based on a detailed study of atmospheric temperatures of some planets [4] seems to be what GHE-2 means. It can be summarized that in the atmosphere near ground the contribution to the global warming is maintained by the thermal kinetic movements of the major components N2 and O2 (GHE-2), and contribution by CO2 or other so-called greenhouse gases through either GHE-1 or GHE-2 is negligibly small, irrespective of natural or anthropogenic origin, because their concentrations in the atmosphere are negligibly small. Hence, the idea of the anthropogenic CO2 causing the global warming is basically mistaken, though GHE-1 may be contributing to temperature maintenance minimally in the lower part of troposphere. The most effective greenhouse gas based on IR absorption (GH-1), i.e., water contributes significantly to weather/temperature regulation through cloud formation as well. Reference [1] Thomas Allmendinger, The Real Cause of Global Warming and its Consequences on Climate Policy, SciFed Journal of Global Warming, 2018, 2:1; Thomas Allmendinger, The Refutation of the Climate Greenhouse Theory and a Proposal for a Hopeful Alternative, Environ. Pollut. Climate Change, 2017, 1:2; https://www.researchgate.net/publication/317572928 [2] Robert Ian Holmes, Earth Sciences, 2017; 6(6): 157-163; 2018; 7: 107-123 https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20170606.18 [3] Ian Plimer, “Heaven and Earth: global warming the missing science” (Taylor Trading Publishing., 2009) p365-367 [4] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/317570648

ウクライナの原発（ザポリージャ、ZNP）の問題

ロシア軍は、ウクライナに入ってから、ウクライナの東部、ザポリージャ州の一番西に位置する6基の原子炉からなる最大の原発（ZNP）を、すぐに確保した。この原発は、ソ連が解体する以前に、そこに作られたものである。ロシア軍が、早くにこの原発を確保した理由は、キエフ側からとの衝突（戦争）において危険な立場に置かれるであろうから、安全を確保するために、自分たちで管理しようとしたものである。キエフ側は、ロシアは、その原発をキエフ側への攻撃の根拠とするものと非難し、ロシア軍は直ちに退去し、キエフ側に戻せと主張した。 　紛争が始まって数ヶ月後の8月（2022年）、二日続けてZNPに砲弾が打ち込まれ、作業員１名が、負傷した。世界中の原発を管理するとしているIAEAは、原発への攻撃は危険極まりないので、絶対にしてはならないと主張している。キエフ側は、ウクライナ南部への電力供給を妨げるために、ロシア側が砲弾を打ち込んだと主張。キエフ側の主張は、どう考えても理にかなわない。ロシアが進んで管理にあたり、正常な運転を行っていることは事実で、そのロシアが、自分達が管理している原発にドローンなどで攻撃するなど、ありえない。しかるに、ZNPへの攻撃は、あれ以来何度も行われ、その度に、IAEAは訪れて被害を検証するが、攻撃側の特定には言及しない。西欧側の報道は、キエフ側の主張とIAEAの動きのみを報道し続けている。 　最近の砲撃は、2026年5月30日で、かなり強力なドローンの攻撃で、６号機のタービン建屋が攻撃された。これは、今までの攻撃で最も危険なレベルであった。この件についての報道を見てみる。やはり、ロシア側の報道 [1]は、キエフを非難するものである。西欧側の報道を見てみよう。 　かなり直接的な報道が、東京新聞5月31日[2]。それは、こう表現している（以下引用）：ウクライナ側は関与を否定した。ロシア側の発表が事実なら、タービン建屋への攻撃は異例。ロスアトム（ロシア原発企業）のリハチョフ総裁は声明で「意図的な攻撃だった」と非難した。ウクライナ軍は「ザポリージャ原発6号機を攻撃していない」とし「侵略国家による挑発行為だ」と反発した。――引用終わり 　アメリカABCの報道 [3] (ロンドン発だが)からの引用：攻撃された建物は、ウクライとザポリージャ州の境からわずか30マイルの距離にあるものである。建物の壁に穴ができていた。ウクライナの南部防衛軍は、ロシアは相変わらずZNPをブラックメイルの手段として利用し、この攻撃はロシアの核テロリズムだと主張し、ロシアの主張を否定した。――引用終わり。 　西欧側のもう一つの報道 [4]も同様の報道の仕方で、ウクライナの主張（ロシア側のテロだと）を紹介するのみである。ロシアが、現在ロシア自身が管理している施設を攻撃するというのはとんでもない論理ではないでしょうか。今まで、この施設（ZNP）から砲弾か何かが出されてウクライナ側を攻撃したということはありません。というかそんなことがあれば、早速西側はロシアを大々的に非難するでしょう。でも、まだありません。 [1] https://www.rt.com/russia/640766-zaporozhye-nuclear-power-plant-attack/ [2] https://www.tokyo-np.co.jp/article/491783 [3] https://abcnews.com/International/iaea-issues-ukraine-nuclear-plant-warning-after-russia/story?id=133461599 [4] https://tsn.ua/en/ukrayina/why-kremlin-fabricated-ukrainian-attack-on-znpp-military-and-nsdc-expose-enemys-goal-3095327.html

ウクライナ問題で報道されないこと

2020年２月に始まったウクライナ問題（日本では、ロシアの侵攻と表現されている）では、我々が目にし、耳にすることの多くは、米欧からの報道です。こうした報道の基本精神は、ロシア＝悪、西欧はロシアを潰すのが当然。それをウクライナがよく頑張ってやってくれている。それを助けるのが当然と。それには、ロシアがウクライナになんの理由もなく侵攻した、そして、西欧諸国の特に政治指導者たちの間には、ロシアはさらに西欧まで拡大すると思い込んでいることもあるのでしょう。最近は、しかし、アメリカは大分、そうした西欧とは意識的に離れつつあるようであるが。 　ロシアが主張していることは、ウクライナの東南部（ドンバスと称する）のロシア系住民が、ウクライナから独立したいのに、ウクライナはそうした動きを叩き潰すことを、特に2014年のクーデター以来、継続してきた。その動きを止めるためにロシアが軍事力で助けに入って、数週間で停戦、ロシア軍は撤退した。その時には、ゼレンスキーもブッチャ市の市長も喜んだ。しかし、その直後にはイギリスからボリス・ジョンソンが訪れ、ゼレンスキーに停戦などせず、闘争を継続するように仕向けた。これが、今回の長期戦の原因である。その後、ブッチャ市のロシアによる破壊とされるものが、ウクライナ・欧米側より大報道された。 　ウクライナ東部のロシア系住民が大部分の州では、住民は国民投票により、ウクライナからの独立を宣言した。ロシア側がウクライナ紛争を停止する条件としているのは、ウクライナはNATOには加入せず、平和国家になることが基本であるとしている。ウクライナ側は、ウクライナの領土であった東南州が、軍事力でとられるのは不当である。絶対に手放さないと。 　さて、先ほど述べたように、欧米、日本での報道が、ウクライナ側に添っており、自分たちにとって不都合なことは報道を控えるようである。そうした最近の例を２、3紹介します。 　まず、ゼレンスキー氏の報道官であったユリア·メンデルという人の証言が最近話題になっています [1、2]。メンデルが、タッカー・カールソンとの対話 [3]で述べたことです。よく知られてもいることらしいが、ゼレンスキーが、麻薬常用者であること。彼が戦争を長引かせるのは、それによって自分の富を膨らませることができること。だから、彼は平和への最大の障害物であると、証言している。この[1, 3]は、アメリカに根拠をもつウェブサイト、[2]はロシア系です。 　ゼレンスキー問題についての疑問は、アメリカ国会の議員からも発せられている[4]。 それは、ゼレンスキーがトランプ／米議会に空軍機、ミサイルなどを要請したという発表の後に、国会議員アンナ・ポリーナ・ルーナが発言したもので、ゼレンスキーは、以前ウクライナ支援のファンドをジョー・バイデンの選挙に回したとか、ゼレンスキーは大統領選を拒否しいているなどを述べた上で、ゼレンスキーは、ウクライナ戦の平和解決を妨害していると指摘した[4] (ユーチューブ)。 　5月22日に、ロシアに所属することになったルガンスク州のスタロベルスクにある教員養成学校にウクライナ軍が、16個のドローンで攻撃。今までのところ、21人が死亡したとされている [5]。それは全て、学生（女性が多い）でした。ウクライナ側は、あの学校が、ロシアのドローン配置の場所で、あの攻撃は正当であったと主張している。しかし、誰がみても、あの場所に軍事的な施設などは見つかっていない。 　そこで、ロシア側は、あの場所に世界中のジャーナリストを招待し、現状をみてもらおうとした（19ヶ国から50人のジャーナリスト） [6]。それに対して、BBCとCNNは招待を拒否し、日本政府は、レポーターがそこに行くことを妨げたのだそうです。 [1] https://www.naturalnews.com/2026-05-13-zelenskys-former-press-secretary-claims-zelensky-crackhead.html; https://www.naturalnews.com/2026-05-12-zelensky-war-profiteering-dictator-bombshell-interview.html [2] https://www.rt.com/russia/639874-zelensky-prolong-thrives-war/; https://www.rt.com/news/640073-zelensky-ruined-ukraine-west/ [3] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pkz2-cWHPbg [4] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B1A0geYPVD0&t=39s [5] https://www.rt.com/russia/640362-school-dorm-drone-strike/ [6] https://www.rt.com/russia/640512-foreign-journalists-visit-russian-college/

Peace and Sustainability: Basis for Education

The following was published in "Global Educator, 2011 winter" (WWW.PAGEBC.CA) 

Peace and Sustainability: Basis for Education

 

Humankind is currently in a deep trouble.  Whether human civilization will survive long is now really questionable.  An immediate issue is the economic crisis; the current capitalistic market economy is now critically wounded.  The basic idea behind the current economy is “growth” (of economic activities in terms of quantity), which is contradictory to the “sustainable human civilization”.  Our economic activities (consumption) have now surpassed the carrying capacity of the earth, and are on a brink of collapse.  Besides, a few individuals, the so-called “economic elites” have cleverly or grossly (depending on the point of view) steered the whole economic system into such a direction in which only they benefit from the economy and the great majority of humankind suffer economically.  The impetus for growth economy would make nations to compete for the limited resources on the earth; this threatens to lead to perhaps an ultimate war between big players.  In order for the humankind to avoid such dangers and establish a sustainable and peaceful civilization, all mankind, young and children above all, have to learn how to approach it.  This short essay tries to show very briefly what needs to be implemented in the education system for the purpose.   

     Peace and sustainability are intimately intertwined, and cannot be separated.  Peace is a precondition for sustainable human civilization, but peace on the earth would not be realized unless the human society attains a sustainable status.  These issues are the basics for human survival and hence should be the basis for education.  We will first discuss what “peace” and “sustainability” entail, how these states might be attained, and then how the issues should be incorporated in the education.

     Let’s focus on “Sustainability” first.  The word “sustainability” is not well delineated, and means different things to different people, it seems.  It should not be “to sustain a status quo”, though most often it is used to mean just that.  That is, it is often meant to sustain one’s condition without regard to how it affects others (other people, other communities, other countries, other living organisms, the environment, the earth as a whole, etc.). 

     Let us define “sustainability” here to mean that the entire human race, not just the advanced societies, sustains itself and that each and every individual of human race has a right and enjoy to live a best life within this sustainability constraint; this is the basic human right.  This does not necessarily imply that all the people on this earth should attain the same material standard.  Each region (country) has its unique and limited ecology, and the people in it should live more or less self-sufficiently and happily within the sustainable constraints, with some resources equitably distributed among regions.  In other words, renewable material (i.e., plants) can be cultivated and raised in each region to the extent of being capable of sufficiently sustaining (feed, clothe and house) the population.  Nonrenewable resources are distributed unequally among regions.  In a sustainable civilization, these resources would be regarded to belong to all human race and other living organisms.  These resources are distributed among different regions according to the need, and used in sufficiently sustainable manners.  This presupposes cooperation rather than individual egotistic competitive activities at every level at human endeavors. 

     Currently the people in advanced countries are enjoying enormously affluent material lives, at the expense of the people in the developing countries, the majority of whom are living miserably in terms of material. This is far from the condition of the sustained human civilization outlined above.  On the average, the humankind is currently using renewable resources in excess of renewable rate by more than 20%, and this is rising. 

     To attain a sustainable use of resources, the people in the currently affluent nations need to significantly reduce their consumption of energy and material, and measures should be taken to raise the wellbeing (in terms of material) of the people in the developing world, so that all the people on the earth should attain comparable levels of material affluence, though not necessarily the same level.  The overall consumption level should be much lower than the current level (i.e., overall by more than 20%).  The crucial point is that people in any region should feel they are living happy worthy lives.  To attain such a sustainable human civilization, with the majority of people feeling happy, is a very tall order.  But that is what we should aim at attaining in future.  We will discuss shortly how we may attain such a state.

     Now, let us turn our attention to “Peace” or rather “War”.  Many ancient civilizations could not sustain themselves and collapsed due to overexploitation of the environment.  Their living conditions were usually precarious, particularly in nomadic, pastoral regions.  A tribe in such a region might have been living reasonably well, but usually did not have any extra expendable luxury due to lack of proper technology and the territorial limitation.  They had to move to another place when their living had become untenable.  Or when another tribe tried to come and occupy their territory, they had to fight back to defend themselves by killing the invading tribe or capturing and enslaving them.  They needed to do so, because their territory simply could not accommodate another bunch of people.  The people created and resorted to a God who would protect them.  The God was a supernatural being, omnipotent, and the people were told that their God was “good”, protecting the people who believed in it.  But the other God another tribe believed in was “evil”.  Hence it was permissible to slaughter those people who believed in a wrong God.  Thus, nomadic people have created “monotheism” and they believed that they were “chosen people” by the true God, as, e.g., Zionists and their Christian supporters believe.

     In other words, “war”, i.e., to kill others to defend themselves became a normal human behavior, sanctioned by God, and codified by sacred manuscripts.  The war of this kind may be designated as “War of 1st kind”, a sort of natural condition for “war”.  This might reflects the ancient living condition of nomads, i.e., limited resources that could not be shared with another tribe, so that the invaders should not be allowed to coexist.  This spirit (animosity toward other tribes) seems to be still prevalent among many tribes, and also among people who believe literally in the sacred books of monotheism, despite the fact that humankind has attained an enormous improvement in the living condition in general, so that today people should be able to share and live together.  The ethnic conflicts still rampant in today’s world are essentially of this kind, though the basic reasons are varied, economic, cultural and political, and, maybe, not the basic survival need as in the ancient time.  

     An extension of this kind of war has become aggressive expansion of the territory, as seen in the war by Alexander the Great, that of the Roman Empire, and the Mongolian invasion of the western half of the Eurasia.  War of this kind was fought beyond necessity; this is simply an aggressive kind of war (“war of 2nd kind”).  Colonialism prevalent in the 15^th through 20^th century was carried out by force; essentially it was “war of 2nd kind”.

     However, “war” in today’s world is often fought for the sake of financial benefit for some influential elites, though it is usually claimed that it is for the sake of security of people (i.e., protecting people’s lives and livelihood).  In reality, people are victimized; soldiers are killed and a large number of civilians are also killed as a collateral.  Meanwhile, some elites and corporations gain an enormous amount of money by providing war machines and supplies.  The Iraqi and Afghan wars are good examples.  They have little to do with the security of American people, though initially they were meant for preventing “Terror” attacks on the American soil.  They had a lot to do, instead, with the money making of the military-related corporations and the oil companies.  This is “War of 3rd kind”.

     “War of 4th kind” may be waged to secure precious resources.  This is in a sense an extension of the “war of 2nd and 3rd kind”, but it has a very different connotation.   Corporations forces the government to go to “war” in the 3rd kind, but the national government is the cause of war of 2nd kind.  Resources on the earth are becoming ever scarcer, and nations are eager to grab resources still available.  Take China as an example; of course there are a number of such candidates including India, Brazil and others.  The Chinese government, having such a large population, needs a large quantity of resources of all kinds to feed and make them happy.  It has been estimated that resources equivalent to those of two and a half earth’s is necessary for all the Chinese people to enjoy the material wealth comparable to that enjoyed by the people of the today’s advanced nations.  The Chinese government is trying to expand their sphere of influence so that it gains access to resources all over the world, especially in the resource-rich Africa.  The former colonial power and dominant nations, of Europe and the US, are also trying to secure the natural resources as much as they can, and seem to have already started to prepare for an eventual confrontation with China.  China is of course rapidly building its military power.  The confrontation could become a war (of 4th kind).  If this happens, the entire planetary civilization will be destroyed, as the major contenders are all with nuclear arsenals that have not been abandoned.   This has to be avoided by all means. 

     However, even if it (resource grabbing) is resolved peacefully, the consequence of such a pursuit of resource use will be a very rapid depletion of resources on the earth.  This will end, though in a different sense, in the demise of the current human civilization; in other words, such a civilization cannot be sustained long.

     The humankind is now at a very crucial moment in its history; our civilization as currently taken for granted is facing an imminent death in two directions.  One is “War” and another is “Excessive consumption of material (resources of both renewable and non-renewable)”.  “War” may be inevitable, i.e., “Peace” may not be attainable, unless human race attains the wisdom of living within the sustainable constraints.  On the other hands, “Peace” is a precondition for a sustainable civilization, because “War” simply wastes precious human and material resources.  We need to realize that both issues, “peace” and “sustainability”, are two faces of the same coin. 

     Dr. Vanadana Siva, an eco-philosopher and activist began her acceptance speech at the Sydney Opera House for the 2010 Sydney Peace Prize with these words: “When we think of wars in our times, our minds turn to Iraq and Afghanistan. But the bigger war is the war against the planet. This war has its roots in an economy that fails to respect ecological and ethical limits -- limits to inequality, limits to injustice, limits to greed and economic concentration.”  She equates our current growth economy to the war against the earth, and implies that it is not sustainable.  But, changes needed to reduce the assault on the earth should include the abolishment of “wars by force on people and nations”.

     In order to attain such a sustainable and peaceful civilization, people have to learn to respect each other and other cultures, restrain one’s urge to own/consume more, and consider that non-violent resolution (not war) is the human norm in resolving conflicts, particularly those among nations.  And this has to be the basis for education (in its broadest sense) for everybody.

     The education starts as soon as one is born.  Her (his) brain will be wired through her (his) experience in every sense; interaction with the environment, parents, siblings, grandparents and others.  In this early life, the education is done mostly through the upbringing by parents.  Therefore it is up to their world view/ethical/value system, which has a strong influence on the child.

      When children come to the formal education, they will be subjected to the educational norm imposed by the authority, the majority of which still cling to the unsustainable political/economic view.  To change the formal education system requires awareness of people regarding its shortcomings.  It is difficult and cannot be accomplished soon.  Meanwhile, the people in the educational circle can start changing the fundamental tenets of educating children even within such a constraint as imposed by the authority.

     Here are some basic tenets that need to be learned by all the people in order for the humankind to sustain itself for long.  At the formal education level, these concepts should be conveyed to children, not necessarily explicitly, but be touched upon on every opportunity in many different ways of phrasing, in conjunction with any subject matter.  And some practices should be found to impress these concepts on children.

 

(1)  It needs to be understood by everybody that every human being is equal in every way despite different skin color and other physical characters.  No single human race can be regarded to be superior than others, i.e., a “chosen (by God) race”.  There is no such distinction in nature.

(2)  We, human, are only one of several million living species present on this planet, and are dependent for our livelihood on “Nature”, i.e., other living organisms, the environment (ecosystem, the earth), and the sun.  We should live in harmony with “Nature”.

(3)  There are limits to the material resources on this planet.  We need to use them very judiciously in order for the human civilization to last long.

(4)  To satisfy the above conditions (2, 3), people have to learn to restrain their urge to obtain more or consume more.  It can be termed “self-restraints” or “to know when enough”.  We need to regard “extravagance, excessiveness in possession” not desirable.  For example, one should not buy things beyond one’s capability, charging to a credit card.  It is a good thing for us to live modestly but happily.

(5)  The basis of economy should not be “to make profit” but be “to make happy as many people as feasible”. 

(6)  We have now enough, though barely, to share with all the people to sustain us, so that there is no need to resort to wars or other violent means to grab resources.  Cooperation and peace have to be the norm in human civilization.

(7)  For now, the resources on the earth are barely enough to sustain the current large population of human species.  But soon the population will likely exceed the carrying capacity of the earth.  In an estimate of ecological footprint, it is said that we have already surpassed the carrying capacity of the earth a decade ago and by more than 20% by now.  This is not simply the population problem, but we need to look into the population of human race, and have to learn to maintain it at reasonable level.   

(8)  War is an ultimate evil that is now promoted by people who gains from war, not for the security of people.  It is an enormous waste of human lives and resources, and of course causes enormous miseries for people.   

 

     There are other concepts (morals) to be eventually ingrained in the human minds for us to be able to sustain ourselves.  A critical thing in this regard is that children (people in general) develop a habit to evaluate carefully what they see everyday and on every occasion, to see if it may make sense in terms of “peace and sustainability”.  An example of “sustainable human civilization” in the near future is described by this writer in an unpublished book: “A Sustainable Human Civilization beyond Economic Crisis”.  This can be distributed to anyone who wishes to read it.  Just e-mail to eo1921(at)telus.net.

 

 

 

CO2 is not causing the Global Warming 

 Many arguments against the anthropogenic cause of global warming (AGW) have been published, but the fundamental issue, i.e., the greenhouse effects of the so-called greenhouse gas, has not been critically examined, it seems. The narrative on the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide seems to have become an unquestionable truth: cultism. However, we need to explore the issue seriously, because the whole issue of climate change may be based on a wrong assumption. There are two aspects; one is the scientific aspect of the greenhouse effect; and the other is historical data that show the relationships between the CO2 content change in the atmosphere and the global temperature change. Dr. Thomas Allmendinger showed by experimental study that the temperature of the atmosphere is maintained by the thermal movements of the main components (N2 and O2 molecules), and has little to do with IR absorption by CO2 [1]. His idea and research result was explained by an author [2]. Here we re-examine the greenhouse effect issues. The Basic Mistake of The Greenhouse Effect in the Climate Narrative The original scientific idea of greenhouse effect was produced by Svante Arrhenius, a Nobel Prize winner. The idea of the current climate alarmists is based on the Arrhenius idea that IR (infrared) radiation emitted from the surface of the globe is absorbed by some components in the atmosphere by way of intramolecular movements, i.e., IR-active vibration. Such compounds would return about a half of the IR radiation energy absorbed to the ground. This is the greenhouse effect according to the official narrative. Let’s call this type GHE (Green House Effect)-1. Such molecules that affect the atmospheric temperature are termed as “Greenhouse gas”. The greenhouse gases do, indeed, absorb the IR intramolecularly, but absorb only minimal portions of the IR emitted by the global surface. Besides, the major greenhouse gas that absorbs the IR intramolecularly is water vapor which contributes about 95% of the greenhouse effect GHE-1. CO2’s effect is only a few % or so of the overall Arrhenius type greenhouse effect (GHE-1). The major components of the atmosphere N2 and O2 do not absorb IR in this manner. Hence the contribution of the major components is neglected for the function of maintaining the atmospheric temperature. Heat emitted from the surface, however, is transmitted to the molecules in the atmosphere to intensify their movements. The more intense movement of gas molecules is reflected in the higher temperature of the gas. That is, the air (N2 and O2) is indeed the major heat absorbing agent by their intermolecular (kinetic) movements [1]. This is the main effect working in the ”real-life greenhouse”, and let’s designate it as GHE-2. In the case of actual atmosphere, the heat absorbed by the air is transferred to higher level because no enclosure like the real life greenhouse exists. Eventually the heat coming from below (the earth surface) and the heat moving away toward higher level would become equal, i.e., steady state is realized. The established steady state is what we see today as the global (atmospheric) temperature. Thomas Allmendinger [1] showed experimentally that the steady state temperature is dependent on the pressure and the mass of the material in the atmosphere. An experiment showed that 1 atm pressure atmosphere of pure argon whose molar mass is 40.0 g/mol will attain about the same temperature as that of 1 atm CO2 whose molar mass is 44 g/mol, as shown in Fig. 1 [1]. Argon is a single-atom entity and would not absorb IR; hence not GHE-1. Hence, the temperature of atmosphere is simply dependent on the molecular movement (i.e., GHE-2), and little to do with IR absorption (GHE-1).

This fact can be seen from another perspective. The temperature of lower portion of the troposphere is maintained through kinetic movements of molecules in atmosphere, because it has been shown to be governed by the ideal gas law: PV=nRT, where P=pressure, V=volume, n=number of moles ( in terms of mole), T=temperature and R=gas constant [3]. The temperature T can then be expressed by T=P/(R x ( where  is the density of the atmosphere and M is the molar mass of the molecules in the atmosphere. The temperature of the current earth’s atmosphere was calculated as 288.14 K= 150C according to this formula [3]. So the current overall average temperature of lower atmosphere is 15oC, and this temperature is maintained by N2 and O2 through GHE-1, i.e., their kinetic movements. The minor components H2O, CO2, CH4 and others contribute negligibly little in terms of GHE-1. They may contribute in terms of GHE-2 as well, but again negligibly small amounts. Ian Plimer says: “Air itself is a good insulator” in his major work, indicating that “greenhouse effect (GHE-1) is a misnomer [4]. At high altitude where the atmospheric pressure becomes low, the GHE-1 becomes significant, as GHE-2 is reduced. One of the major claims for the CO2 GH effect (GHE-1) for the global warming is based on the fact that the temperature of the atmosphere of Venus is quite high 740 K, because it consists mostly of CO2. So it can be claimed that GHE-2 effect of CO2 maintains that high temperature. However, it was calculated to be 739.7 K based on the gas law PV=nRT [3]. This result implies that the Venus atmospheric temperature is maintained by the kinetic movement of the molecules (CO2) in its atmosphere (GHE-2), not IR-based GH effect (GHE-1). “Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect” described by N. Nicolov and K. Zelller based on a detailed study of atmospheric temperatures of some planets [5] seems to be what GHE-2 means. It can be summarized that in the atmosphere near ground the contribution to the global warming is maintained by the thermal kinetic movements of the major components N2 and O2 (GHE-2), and contribution by CO2 or other so-called greenhouse gases through either GHE-1 or GHE-2 is negligibly small, irrespective of natural or anthropogenic origin, because their concentrations in the atmosphere is negligibly small. Hence, the idea of the anthropogenic CO2 causing the global warming is basically mistaken, though GHE-1 may be contributing to temperature maintenance minimally in the lower part of troposphere. The most effective greenhouse gas based on IR absorption (GH-1), i.e., water contributes significantly to weather/temperature regulation through cloud formation as well. 

Temperature rise causes increase of CO₂; not the other way around

 

Most data of temperature and CO₂ change in the last 500 million years show that there was no correlation between them [6]. In the last 800 thousand years the global temperature changed cyclically in about 100 thousand years cycle: the so-called Millankovich cycle of glacial periods. This is mainly due to the changes in the distance and angle of light between the Sun and the Earth. 

   The studies of CO₂, methane and temperature change in the ice core in Antarctica produced a diagram as shown in Fig. 2 over that period [7].  CO₂ and methane look to have changed in the same manner as that of temperature. Hence, this set of data has been claimed to indicate that CO₂ and CH₄ cause temperature change; i.e., temperature goes up when CO₂ increases (i.e., GHE-2). However, if it is looked at carefully, the changes of CO₂ and methane follow the temperature change; not the other way around. That is, when temperature goes up, methane and CO₂ increase, and they go down as temperature goes down. This is a natural process; as temperature goes up, CO₂ in the ocean will leave the water and enter in the atmosphere. 

 

         

                       Fig. 2 Changes in temp, methane and CO₂, last 800,000 years [7]

    

More recent data also shows the same thing (Fig. 3) [8]. A detailed statical study of T vs CO₂ also concluded that T -> CO₂ (temperature change causes change in CO₂), and not the other way [9].

         

                             Fig. 3  Yearly change of CO2 and Global Temperature [8] 

   The last glacial period ended about 12 thousand years ago, and we are currently in the so-called interglacial warm period. The temperature went up more than 7^oC degrees during the first a few thousand years after the glacial period ended, and then was somewhat stabilized. Yet, the temperature has kept changing. The overall picture of global temperature change in the last 10,000 years (Fig. 4) indicates that the temperature changes (up and down) of about +1.0⁰C have occurred a number of times [10]. The most recent warm period was around 1000 AD (medieval warm period), and the latest cold period was around 15-19 century (known as little glacial period). And now we are in a temperature-rising period. In the last several centuries the global temperature change seems to correspond to the change in the activity of Sun [11]. By the way, this source [11] also suggests that the current solar activity cycle 25 seems to surpass the previous cycle 24. This could be related to the current temperature rise. All these facts imply that CO₂, natural or anthropogenic, is not the major cause of the current global warming or climate change. 

 

     

                            Fig. 4 Temperature change in the last 12,000 years [9] 

 

Mistake of “NetZero”

 

As pointed out often, “NetZero or Decarbonization” is detrimental for the entire living system on the Earth. Carbon is the basic component of all living materials: proteins, carbohydrates, DNA, vitamin C, etc, and those C-containing compounds are produced from carbon compounds such as carbohydrates produced by plants using CO₂ and water by photosynthesis with solar energy. Photosynthesis also produces oxygen we need to survive. Hence, decarbonization, if realized, decimates this wonderful living world. Fig. 5 shows how CO₂ and H₂O are vital components for living organisms and their system [12].

 

             

                        Fig. 5  All living organisms are dependent on CO₂ and H₂O [12]

 

Reference

 

[1] Thomas Allmendinger, The Real Cause of Global Warming and its Consequences on Climate Policy,  SciFed Journal of Global Warming, 2018, 2:1; Thomas Allmendinger, The Refutation of the Climate Greenhouse Theory and a Proposal for a Hopeful Alternative, Environ. Pollut. Climate Change, 2017, 1:2; https://www.researchgate.net/publication/317572928

[2] https://www.pollution.news/2022-07-28-greenhouse-gas-effect-does-not-exist.html

[3] Robert Ian Holmes, Earth Sciences, 2017; 6(6): 157-163; 2018; 7: 107-123

       https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20170606.18

[4] Ian Plimer, “Heaven and Earth: global warming the missing science”

        (Taylor Trading Publishing., 2009) p365-367

[5] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/317570648

[6] Berner, R.A., Kothavala, Z. GEOCARB III: 2002. A revised model of atmospheric CO2 over Phanerozoic time. IGBP PAGES/World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, Data Contribution Series #2002-051. NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder CO, USA; 2001. bhttp://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/climate forcing/trace gases/phanerozoic; Scotese, C. R., 2002. PALEOMAP Project, Arlington, Texas; 2002. http://www.scotese.comN

[7] Ed Brook, Nature, 435, 2008.05.15  https://www.nature.com/articles/453291a.pdf [8]https://www.env01.net/main_subjects/global_warming/contents/s003/globalwarming_s03.html

[9] https://www.aimspress.com/article/id/668fb539ba35de127fcb6dde

[10] Dansgaard, W., Johnsen, S.J., Moller, J., 1969. One thousand centuries of climatic record from the Camp Century on the Greenland Sheet. Science, 166, 377-381;

[11] https://clintel.org/solar-activity-cycle-25-surpasses-cycle-24/

[12] Eiichiro Ochiai, “Chemicals for Life and Living” (Springer Verlag, 2011)